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INTEREST RATE RISK

Amid fluctuations in interest rates, shorter-term fixed income may deliver lower price volatility than longer-term. Proper diversification across various sectors remains a prudent strategy to manage interest rate risk.

WHAT HAS CHANGED FROM A YEAR AGO?

Treasury yields are very similar to this time last year, despite their recent sharp rise. We expect domestic growth and inflation expectations to push rates higher, though low foreign rates may continue to keep U.S. yields lower than they otherwise would be.

MORE THAN JUST A TRUMP TAPER?

Last week’s Treasury sell-off is broadly being attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, and corresponding increases in policy uncertainty and expectations for higher deficit spending. While the Trump effect is at least partly to blame, other drivers including new supply, potential foreign selling, and the ever-present Fed, helped create the perfect storm for bonds.

TURNING POINT FOR MUNIS?

October was the worst month for municipal bonds since August 2013 as record supply and rising rates took their toll on the sector. Supply hit monthly records in August and September, and an all-time record in October, as municipalities tried to get issues to the market prior to any potential election- or Fed-driven volatility.

BONDS TO FED: READY, SET, HIKE

Positive economic data contributed to a rise in Treasury yields last week, a positive sign for the economy but painful for fixed income investors. Trends in fixed income markets signal that the economy is in good shape to weather a potential Fed rate hike in December.

 
Results: 18 Articles found.
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