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MIDYEAR OUTLOOK 2016: CAMPAIGNING FOR MORE INVESTMENT

We expect mid-single- digit returns for the S&P 500 in 2016, consistent with historical mid-to-late economic cycle performance, driven by a second half earnings rebound. Key risks include a policy mistake from Washington or the Fed, geopolitics, and a surprising pickup in inflation. Bouts of volatility are likely

Q2 2016 EARNINGS PREVIEW: BETTER TIMES AHEAD?

The earnings recession will likely continue with second quarter results, which will begin to be reported this week. Better times may lie ahead: U.S. economic growth has started to pick up, the drags from the U.S. dollar and oil are starting to abate, and Brexit appears unlikely to hurt U.S. companies much.

BREXIT REFLECTIONS

The Brexit’s impacts on earnings and U.S. stocks may be limited; we maintain our 2016 year-end S&P 500 forecast for mid-singledigit returns.* However, uncertainty in Europe, seasonal weakness, and the U.S. presidential election

OVERCOMING A WALL OF WORRIES

We look at three reasons to be fearful of future economic and stock market returns, and three reasons why the fears may be overblown. In the face of some recent bad news and growing investor worries, the S&P 500 is still only 2.8% away from a new all-time high.

BREXIT: SHOULD THEY STAY OR SHOULD THEY GO?

The United Kingdom votes on June 23 on whether to remain or exit the European Union (Brexit). Financial markets had been confident the U.K. would remain, though very recent polling data have created uncertainty.​

 
Results: 16 Articles found.
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