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Municipal Mid-Year Outlook

We do not expect the municipal bond market to repeat first half strength over the second half of 2014. A gradual rise in yields to compensate for better growth, a modest rise in inflation, and the start of Fed rate hikes in roughly one year’s time will likely pressure bond prices slightly lower through year end. We continue to believe the taxable bond market is likely the main catalyst to the next move in municipal bond prices.

Portfolio Compass 7/9/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 7/9/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Current Conditions Index 7/2/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

A Challenging Second Half Looms

After broad based strength over the first half of 2014, we expect yields may rise in the second half of 2014 as global growth strengthens and inflation picks up from recent lows. Higher valuations have increased the challenges facing investors.

LPL Financial Research's Mid-Year Outlook 2014

At this year’s halfway point, we offer the LPL Financial Research Mid-Year Outlook2014: Investor’s Almanac Field Notes containing key observations and updates to our outlook for 2014.

Portfolio Compass 6/25/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 6/25/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Behind the Curve?

Despite the Fed labeling the recent inflation increase as “noise,” longer-term bond yields rose, inflation expectations increased, and the yield curve steepened — all signs of the bond market pricing in inflation risks. As the low inflation pillar of year-to-date bond strength fades, it may be one more reason to be cautious in the bond market.

Current Conditions Index 6/18/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Bond Market Perspectives

We believe bank loans could be one of the more attractive fixed income asset classes based on our economic and market outlook for the second half of 2014 and believe recent negative headlines are misplaced. A still low interest rate environment, a growing economy, and strong demand for floating rate debt have all fueled growth in the bank loan market.

Current Conditions Index 6/11/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Portfolio Compass 6/11/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Central Bank World Cup

Strong economic data has weighed on bonds to start June but favorable yield differentials between Treasuries and European government bonds have helped limit the domestic bond weakness. Divergent central bank policies may still mean bonds yield to growth.

Current Conditions Index 6/4/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Irrepressible Bonds

Investor positioning and changed Federal Reserve expectations had a particularly beneficial impact on robust bond market performance in May. Unbalanced investor positioning may have run its course, and investor expectations about the Fed may be as good as it gets.

Portfolio Compass 5/28/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 5/28/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Municipals Bloom Amid Drought

Limited new issuance and Treasury market strength have powered municipal bonds to their best start since 2009. In conjunction with lower yields and higher valuations, near-term caution may be warranted as the first signs of selling pressure emerge and a challenging seasonal period looms. Absent a new bout of economic weakness, we see additional municipal price gains as limited.

Portfolio Compass 5/14/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 5/14/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Slim Pickings

Bond market strength in 2014 has led to more expensive valuations across the bond market, not just in Treasuries. Narrow yield spreads by themselves do not imply a pending market correction and spreads can stay narrow for a long time. However, after a strong start to 2014, lower yields in combination with narrower yield spreads illustrate the lack of opportunity in the bond market.

Current Conditions Index 5/7/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

The New Conundrum

Several factors, led by short covering, pushed bond prices higher in the face of stronger economic data last week. Like the Greenspan conundrum of 2005, we expect an improving economy and the eventual onset of Fed rate hikes to gradually push bond yields higher.

Portfolio Compass 4/30/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 4/30/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

One Year Later

The broad bond market has almost fully recouped the damage done from the 2013 selloff with some sectors having fully recovered. We do not expect a repeat of 2013, but the rebound in bond prices, higher valuations, and lower yields have created new challenges that may lead to lower returns.

Current Conditions Index 4/23/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Portfolio Compass 4/16/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 4/16/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Mixed Messages

The market-friendly overtures from the Fed may help keep bond yields in the current low range, but much of the good news from the Fed is already priced into the bond market. Investors may be more willing to downplay Fed news and refocus on economic data, which will ultimately drive the Fed’s decisions. Breaking out of the yield range now will likely depend on improving economic data over the next several weeks.

The Future According to the Bond Market

At any given time, current bond market pricing may provide a view of future economic growth, interest rates, inflation, and when the Federal Reserve (Fed) may raise interest rates, how fast, and by how much. The low level of longer-term bond yields, a flatter yield curve, and subdued inflation expectations all could signal a sluggish economic environment. Bond market indicators do not always come to fruition and taking a contrarian view from future indications may provide opportunities.

Current Conditions Index 4/9/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Current Conditions Index 4/2/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Portfolio Compass 4/2/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

No Fooling, Good Quarter for Bonds

Bond prices rose across the board following a difficult 2013 and yields fell, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing the first quarter 0.3% lower. At a 1.8% quarterly return for the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index, the pace of bond performance is unsustainable, and we continue to suggest a defensive posture against rising interest rates in the bond market with an emphasis on more economically sensitive sectors.

Current Conditions Index 3/26/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Giving Credit to High-Yield Credit

High-yield bond valuations remain elevated for a good reason — strong credit quality and low defaults continue to support the sector. A closer look at underlying credit quality indicates high-yield bond prices may remain well-supported for most of 2014. We still find lower-rated high-yield bonds and bank loans offering some attractive opportunities in the bond market for 2014.

Portfolio Compass 3/19/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 3/19/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Fed Reacquaintance

Unlike weather-impacted economic data or geopolitical tensions, the Fed is likely to reiterate its gradual journey to less bond market-friendly policy. A change in the Fed’s forward guidance to more qualitative measures may pressure bond prices lower and yields higher as the bond market prices in uncertainty.​

Current Conditions Index 3/12/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Beware the Ides of March

The month of March has historically been difficult for bond investors. Given the good start to the bond market so far in 2014, bond investors should be aware of seasonal factors that may negatively impact bond performance.

Portfolio Compass 3/5/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 3/5/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Weather and Treasury Yields

We expect uncertainty over the true trajectory of the economy to keep Treasury yields range bound over the near term. We believe investors should remain on guard for the unwinding of weather-related impacts, which may push bond prices lower and yields higher. The predominant impact following colder and snowier winter weather was higher yields in 2010, 2007, and 1996.

Current Conditions Index 2/26/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Weather Exhaustion

A burgeoning divergence between Treasury yields and economic data suggests the bond market is looking forward to spring and a clearer read of the economic data free of weather distortions. The bond market is also acknowledging the Fed remains on a slow course to remove accommodation that is not adequately reflected in today’s prices and yields.

Portfolio Compass 2/19/14

A snapshot of LPL Financial Research’s views on equity & alternative asset classes, the equity sectors, and fixed income.

Current Conditions Index 2/19/14

The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Developing Worries

Uncertainty over emerging market (EM) weakness and whether the weather is truly responsible for recent softness in economic data is likely to keep bond yields range-bound over the near term. We believe the U.S. economy will resume the improvement that began in late 2013 and EM growing pains will not impact broader financial markets over the longer term.

Current Conditions Index 1/29/14

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) slid to 225. The CCI has been more volatile in recent weeks. The path of the CCI suggests modest, but steady economic growth in the United States...

Sentiment & Positioning

Positioning and sentiment-related buying and selling are not the only drivers of the bond market, but when coupled with fundamental drivers, they can be a potent combination. Bond investors may refocus on economic data now that positioning and sentiment appear more balanced...

The Yield Ascent Slows

The sharp increase in bond yields that started during the second quarter of 2013 moderated during the third quarter. Bond weakness subsided late in the third quarter, following one of the worst sell-offs of the last 20 years. From trough to peak, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield increased by 1.4% from early May to early September with higher yields rippling across all bond market sectors...

Current Conditions Index 10/30/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) fell to 229. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is roughly in line with its 52-week average suggesting continued, though modest, growth...

The New Normal Was the Old Normal

Five years ago, the phrase “the new normal” began to be coined to describe the investment environment of the years that were to follow. Prognosticators claimed the new normal of the future was likely to include a lowered living standard, high unemployment, stagnant corporate profits, heavy government intervention in the economy, and disappointing stock market returns...

Portfolio Compass 10/23/13

Compass Changes: Upgraded stocks to neutral from negative/neutral. Downgraded cash to neutral from positive/neutral. Downgraded large growth to neutral from neutral/positive. Downgraded large value to negative/neutral from neutral. Upgraded small growth and small value to neutral/positive from neutral. Investment Takeaways: We expect...

Current Conditions Index 10/23/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) rose to 238. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is roughly in line with its 52-week average suggesting continued, though modest, growth...

Municipal Ups and Downs

We continue to find municipal bonds one of the more attractive sectors in the bond market even after a modest pullback to start the fourth quarter of 2013. Over the first half of October, selling pressure has increased as investors used September gains as a reason to exit the municipal bond market following the spring and summer 2013 sell-off...

Current Conditions Index 10/16/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) slid slightly to 225. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is roughly in line with its 52-week average suggesting continued, though modest, growth...

Liquidity: You Don’t Miss It Until It’s Gone

Liquidity may pose a challenge to the bond market in the form of: 1) more volatile interest rate movements; and 2) greater swings in lowerrated or more economically sensitive bonds. We view near-term liquidity risks as manageable and remain focused on more credit-sensitive sectors such as bank loans and high-yield bonds...

Portfolio Compass 10/9/13

Compass Changes: No changes. Investment Takeaways: We expect the S&P 500 Index to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* ƒƒWe favor U.S. stocks relative to emerging markets (EM) and developed foreign, despite the ongoing debacle in Washington. ƒƒWe continue to favor the more U.S.-focused, consumer-oriented sectors including consumer discretionary and health care...​

Current Conditions Index 10/9/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) slid slightly to 230. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is now in line with its 52-week average, suggesting continued, though modest, growth. A rise to around 250 would be consistent with stronger-than-average growth.

Who Buys When the Fed Does Not?

Who will step in to fill the void once the Federal Reserve (Fed) decides to exit the bond market? This is the persistent question on investors’ minds even after the Fed decided to postpone tapering, or reducing, bond purchases this past September. Investors fear that the Fed’s absence will lead to lower bond prices and sharply higher interest rates as the market struggles...

Current Conditions Index 10/2/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) was relatively unchanged at 234. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has been improving modestly. A rise to around 250 would be consistent with stronger-than-average growth...

Many Happy Returns

The phrase “many happy returns” is often used for a birthday greeting and meant to augur a long, successful life. More broadly, the term can be used as a greeting to offer hope that a festive event would repeat many more times in the future. The current bond market environment can hardly be described as festive, but the month of September has bond investors exclaiming “many happy returns” following one of the better monthly performances of the past two years...

Portfolio Compass 9/25/13

Compass Changes: Downgraded precious metal commodities to neutral from neutral/positive. Upgraded energy commodities to neutral from negative/neutral. Downgraded agricultural commodities to neutral from neutral/positive. Upgraded intermediate municipal bonds to neutral/positive from neutral. Upgraded Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) to neutral from negative/neutral...

Current Conditions Index 9/25/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) eased to 232. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is higher than a few weeks ago. A further rise to around 250 would be consistent with accelerating growth.​

The Great No Taper Caper

The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors when it announced no reduction, or tapering, of bond purchases at the conclusion of last week’s Fed meeting. Never in the history of monetary policy have so many been misled by so few. The case to taper was debatable back in late spring and early summer when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his compatriots first began to mention tapering. Inflation was running at a lower rate than when the Fed initiated purchases one year ago and economic growth...

Current Conditions Index 9/18/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) moved up to 237. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has lifted this week after stabilizing in recent weeks. A further rise to around 250 would be consistent with accelerating growth...

History Repeating

Treasury yields declined heading into this week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, where the Fed is expected to announce a reduction, or tapering, of bond purchases. Even with looming uncertainty from the Fed meeting outcome, bonds witnessed robust investor demand last week with all three Treasury auctions...​

Portfolio Compass 9/11/13

Compass Changes: Downgraded consumer staples view to neutral/negative from neutral. Investment Takeaways: We expect the S&P 500 Index to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* Fed uncertainty and stronger global growth backdrop remain negative overhangs for bonds. Nonetheless, the bond market has gone a long way to price in stronger growth and greater Fed interest rate risk...

Current Conditions Index 9/11/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged at 227. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized with little overall movement in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth.

Reaching Barriers

Government bond benchmarks globally have reached key psychological barriers that may help stabilize high-quality bond markets or usher in additional weakness. A full slate of new issuance may shed light on investor appetite for still-higher yields and may help determine the near-term course of the bond market...

Current Conditions Index 9/4/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight dip to 226. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth...

Summer Fling

The Labor Day weekend marks the unofficial end of summer and for bond investors it ended with sunny skies with the best week of performance since mid-July. The broad Barclays Aggregate Bond Index returned 0.4% last week, the best weekly gain since a 0.7% return the week ending July 19, 2013, to finish a difficult month of August on a positive note. Is this the start of a more meaningful long-term relationship for bond investors after a tumultuous summer or just a summer fling that will prove...

Portfolio Compass 8/28/13

Compass Changes: Upgraded consumer staples view to neutral from neutral/negative. Upgraded precious metals and agriculture commodities to neutral/positive from neutral. Investment Takeaways: We expect the S&P 500 Index to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* After another bout of weakness, a flattening yield curve, and aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations suggest the bond market may have priced...

Current Conditions Index 8/28/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight dip to 228. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth...

The Bond Sell-Off in Perspective

Longer-term Treasury yields finished last week roughly unchanged, but that is little consolation to investors during a difficult month of August. Investor patience was tested once again with a volatile week that saw the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rise as high as 2.89% before creeping lower late in the week. For the month of August, however...

Current Conditions Index 8/21/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight dip to 226. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth...

The Yield Ascent Resumes

Rising economic growth expectations, not Fed "tapering” fears, fueled the most recent leg down in the bond market. The bond market sell-off entered a new phase last week as Treasury yields broke clear to new highs. Unlike the initial leg of bond market weakness, which was driven equally by better economic growth expectations, Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike fears, and concerns over a reduction in Fed bond purchases...

Current Conditions Index 8/14/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight rise to 228. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth...

Foreign Buying Intrigue

Like an international mystery caper, the habits of foreign bond buyers are not always readily apparent. Data on foreign buying are available from a few sources but with a lag, leaving investors to piece together the details over time. Any “real-time” information is only anecdotal via trading desks and therefore very difficult to quantify. Over recent weeks it has become clear that foreign investors’ apathy toward U.S. bonds played a role in the recent bond market sell-off...

Optimum Fixed Income Fund

Many bond investors are still licking their wounds after the bond market suffered one of its worst quarters in the past 20 years during the second quarter of 2013. We believe it is important to review the contributing factors to performance in Q2, particularly as it relates to the Optimum Fixed Income Fund. While the fund’s performance was certainly disappointing the challenging quarter, and with the possibility of interest...

Portfolio Compass 8/7/13

Compass Changes: No changes. Investment Takeaways: ƒƒWe expect the S&P 500 Index to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* Bond markets have stabilized to start the third quarter on dovish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke, mixed economic data, and bond markets largely pricing in an earlier start to a possible reduction in Fed bond purchases...​

Current Conditions Index 8/7/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight rise to 226. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks.

It’s a Grind

After one of the worst quarterly sell-offs in years, the bond market has witnessed only mixed relief so far this summer. The high-quality bond market, as measured by the broad Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, was roughly unchanged in July 2013, posting a modest 0.1% total return for the month. On the positive side...

Current Conditions Index 7/31/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged at 225. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks...

Yield Ascent

The second quarter of 2013 witnessed a sharp increase in bond yields that led to broad-based price declines across the bond market. All sectors were impacted with only shorter-term securities faring better during a very difficult period for bond investors. From May 1, 2013 to July 5, 2013, bond yields witnessed one of the fastest increases...

Municipals Versus Corporates

Comparing municipal bond yields to Treasury yields is a common way to assess municipal bond valuations, but comparisons to the corporate bond market can be another useful metric to gauge value. We often cite municipal-to-Treasury yield ratios as a key barometer of the attractiveness of municipal bonds. Like most investments, there is more than one way to gauge value...

Current Conditions Index 7/24/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) rose slightly to 226. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks...

Portfolio Compass 7/24/13

Compass Changes: Upgraded long-term municipal bonds to positive from neutral/positive. Shifted duration view to intermediate from short/intermediate. Investment Takeaways: ƒƒWe expect the S&P 500 Index to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* Bond markets have stabilized in July on...

Debacle in Detroit

Detroit made history last week by filing the largest Chapter 9 bankruptcy on record. For most in the municipal bond market, the news was not surprising. Detroit’s demise was years in the making and several factors played a role in the city ultimately filing bankruptcy including, but not limited to: a declining revenue base in response to...

Current Conditions Index 7/17/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) fell to 219. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has slid, on average, in recent weeks...

Light at the End of Tunnel

Signs of stabilization have begun to emerge in the municipal bond market after a difficult two months. Fears of an earlier end to Federal Reserve (Fed) bond purchases drove widespread bond market weakness from the beginning of May through the first week of July. Less liquid and less frequently traded fixed income markets, such as municipal bonds, bore the brunt of weakness with...

Portfolio Compass 7/10/13

Compass Changes: Upgraded health care and consumer discretionary to neutral/positive from neutral. Upgraded financials and small and large value to neutral from negative/neutral. Downgraded energy and materials to negative/neutral from neutral. Investment Takeaways: ƒƒWe expect the S&P 500 to grind higher in the second half of the year with increased volatility.* Lingering fears over the Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing...

Current Conditions Index 7/10/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) rebounded modestly to 228. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has slid in recent weeks...

Fixed Income Mid-Year Outlook

The bond market suffered through its worst quarterly performance since 2004 in response to the Federal Reserve (Fed) signaling it will reduce, or taper, the pace of bond purchases earlier in 2013 than anticipated. The economy also proved resilient to higher tax rates and government spending cuts. Both factors contributed to bond market weakness, but the “tapering tantrum” was the dominant driver...​

Current Conditions Index 7/3/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) was unchanged at 216. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has slid in recent weeks...

Eliminating Exposure to Natural Resource Equities

We are eliminating exposure to natural resource equities and shifting the allocation domestically, to large cap core equities. The initial thesis for natural resource equities was based on global growth, and more specifically the growth of emerging market (EM) economies. We still believe that EM is capable of delivering superior growth relative to the developed world, but we want to reduce exposure, as we believe those growth rates could slightly slow over time...

 
Results: 103 Articles found.
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