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Developing Worries

Uncertainty over emerging market (EM) weakness and whether the weather is truly responsible for recent softness in economic data is likely to keep bond yields range-bound over the near term. We believe the U.S. economy will resume the improvement that began in late 2013 and EM growing pains will not impact broader financial markets over the longer term.

Current Conditions Index 1/29/14

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) slid to 225. The CCI has been more volatile in recent weeks. The path of the CCI suggests modest, but steady economic growth in the United States...

Sentiment & Positioning

Positioning and sentiment-related buying and selling are not the only drivers of the bond market, but when coupled with fundamental drivers, they can be a potent combination. Bond investors may refocus on economic data now that positioning and sentiment appear more balanced...

The Yield Ascent Slows

The sharp increase in bond yields that started during the second quarter of 2013 moderated during the third quarter. Bond weakness subsided late in the third quarter, following one of the worst sell-offs of the last 20 years. From trough to peak, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield increased by 1.4% from early May to early September with higher yields rippling across all bond market sectors...

Current Conditions Index 10/30/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) fell to 229. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is roughly in line with its 52-week average suggesting continued, though modest, growth...

Results: 76 Articles found.
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