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OVERSEEING POOR EARNINGS OVERSEAS

Corporate earnings, the most important factor in market performance, were poor in developed foreign markets last quarter. Forecasts for future earnings have been improving in emerging markets and Europe, but have declined dramatically for Japan. Strength out of the German DAX could be one clue that better times are ahead for Europe.

EARNINGS UPDATE: WE WERE HOPING FOR MORE

We were hoping for more out of corporate America this earnings season. Although the numbers have not been great, there have been some encouraging signs. The tech sector has produced solid results and forward estimates have been resilient.

TIME FOR AN AUGUST SWOON?

We continue to expect an improving economic backdrop in the second half and a stock market with the potential for more new highs before year-end. However, growing near-term concerns are making the odds of some type of a late summer correction more likely.

BREAKOUT

This week we look at some interesting, under-the-radar breakouts in the economy and markets. The breakout in economic surprises is a positive sign for the stock market and cyclical sectors. The breakout in valuations suggests only potential moderate gains for stocks in the near term.

MIDYEAR OUTLOOK 2016: CAMPAIGNING FOR MORE INVESTMENT

We expect mid-single- digit returns for the S&P 500 in 2016, consistent with historical mid-to-late economic cycle performance, driven by a second half earnings rebound. Key risks include a policy mistake from Washington or the Fed, geopolitics, and a surprising pickup in inflation. Bouts of volatility are likely

 
Results: 18 Articles found.
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