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WHAT THE MARKET IS TELLING US ABOUT THE ELECTION

This week we look at what stocks may be telling us about the presidential election. The relative lack of volatility this summer may indicate increasing odds the market is assigning to a Clinton victory. We also look at what some politically sensitive industry groups may be telling us about the election outcome.

OVERSEEING POOR EARNINGS OVERSEAS

Corporate earnings, the most important factor in market performance, were poor in developed foreign markets last quarter. Forecasts for future earnings have been improving in emerging markets and Europe, but have declined dramatically for Japan. Strength out of the German DAX could be one clue that better times are ahead for Europe.

EARNINGS UPDATE: WE WERE HOPING FOR MORE

We were hoping for more out of corporate America this earnings season. Although the numbers have not been great, there have been some encouraging signs. The tech sector has produced solid results and forward estimates have been resilient.

TIME FOR AN AUGUST SWOON?

We continue to expect an improving economic backdrop in the second half and a stock market with the potential for more new highs before year-end. However, growing near-term concerns are making the odds of some type of a late summer correction more likely.

EARNINGS UPDATE: CORPORATE RESILIENCE

We expect another quarterly earnings gain in the second quarter despite the drags from oil and the U.S. dollar. Improved global growth, lower energy costs, and effective cost controls have supported overall results. Although forward estimates have edged lower, we continue to expect earnings growth to accelerate during the second half of the year.

 
Results: 15 Articles found.
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