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FIVE FORECASTERS: FEW WARNING SIGNS

Our Five Forecasters are collectively sending mostly mid-cycle signals. The Leading Economic Index, yield curve, and market breadth are all signaling the continuation of the economic expansion and bull market. Stock market valuations and the ISM Manufacturing Index are flashing some warning signs that are worth watching.

EM EARNINGS: BEGINNING TO EMERGE

Earnings growth across emerging market (EM) equities has been positive in contrast to the decline in earnings and earnings expectations in developed international markets.

SELL NOW?

This year’s stock market gains, the age of the bull market, and valuations beg the question, should investors sell stocks now?

DIVIDEND BUBBLE?

Dividend stocks have garnered support as investors increasingly use stock dividends as a substitute for fixed income in the low interest rate environment. Friday’s slightly weaker than expected jobs report may add to the enthusiasm for dividend-paying equities.

EARNINGS UPDATE: CORPORATE RESILIENCE

We expect another quarterly earnings gain in the second quarter despite the drags from oil and the U.S. dollar. Improved global growth, lower energy costs, and effective cost controls have supported overall results. Although forward estimates have edged lower, we continue to expect earnings growth to accelerate during the second half of the year.

 
Results: 15 Articles found.
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