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Results: 16 Articles found.

EM EARNINGS: BEGINNING TO EMERGE

Earnings growth across emerging market (EM) equities has been positive in contrast to the decline in earnings and earnings expectations in developed international markets.

SELL NOW?

This year’s stock market gains, the age of the bull market, and valuations beg the question, should investors sell stocks now?

DIVIDEND BUBBLE?

Dividend stocks have garnered support as investors increasingly use stock dividends as a substitute for fixed income in the low interest rate environment. Friday’s slightly weaker than expected jobs report may add to the enthusiasm for dividend-paying equities.

CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK: Q2 OFFERS FEW SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT

Our analysis of second quarter earnings conference call transcripts suggests little improvement in corporate sentiment. Most management teams see only a minimal short-term impact from Brexit outside of currencies. Foreign currency remained a drag and low oil prices are still in focus.

WHAT THE MARKET IS TELLING US ABOUT THE ELECTION

This week we look at what stocks may be telling us about the presidential election. The relative lack of volatility this summer may indicate increasing odds the market is assigning to a Clinton victory. We also look at what some politically sensitive industry groups may be telling us about the election outcome.

OVERSEEING POOR EARNINGS OVERSEAS

Corporate earnings, the most important factor in market performance, were poor in developed foreign markets last quarter. Forecasts for future earnings have been improving in emerging markets and Europe, but have declined dramatically for Japan. Strength out of the German DAX could be one clue that better times are ahead for Europe.

EARNINGS UPDATE: WE WERE HOPING FOR MORE

We were hoping for more out of corporate America this earnings season. Although the numbers have not been great, there have been some encouraging signs. The tech sector has produced solid results and forward estimates have been resilient.

TIME FOR AN AUGUST SWOON?

We continue to expect an improving economic backdrop in the second half and a stock market with the potential for more new highs before year-end. However, growing near-term concerns are making the odds of some type of a late summer correction more likely.

BREAKOUT

This week we look at some interesting, under-the-radar breakouts in the economy and markets. The breakout in economic surprises is a positive sign for the stock market and cyclical sectors. The breakout in valuations suggests only potential moderate gains for stocks in the near term.

MIDYEAR OUTLOOK 2016: CAMPAIGNING FOR MORE INVESTMENT

We expect mid-single- digit returns for the S&P 500 in 2016, consistent with historical mid-to-late economic cycle performance, driven by a second half earnings rebound. Key risks include a policy mistake from Washington or the Fed, geopolitics, and a surprising pickup in inflation. Bouts of volatility are likely

Q2 2016 EARNINGS PREVIEW: BETTER TIMES AHEAD?

The earnings recession will likely continue with second quarter results, which will begin to be reported this week. Better times may lie ahead: U.S. economic growth has started to pick up, the drags from the U.S. dollar and oil are starting to abate, and Brexit appears unlikely to hurt U.S. companies much.

BREXIT REFLECTIONS

The Brexit’s impacts on earnings and U.S. stocks may be limited; we maintain our 2016 year-end S&P 500 forecast for mid-singledigit returns.* However, uncertainty in Europe, seasonal weakness, and the U.S. presidential election

OVERCOMING A WALL OF WORRIES

We look at three reasons to be fearful of future economic and stock market returns, and three reasons why the fears may be overblown. In the face of some recent bad news and growing investor worries, the S&P 500 is still only 2.8% away from a new all-time high.

BREXIT: SHOULD THEY STAY OR SHOULD THEY GO?

The United Kingdom votes on June 23 on whether to remain or exit the European Union (Brexit). Financial markets had been confident the U.K. would remain, though very recent polling data have created uncertainty.​

A LOOK AT THE GAAP GAP

This week we take a look at the “GAAP gap,” the gap between reported and operating earnings. The gap today is largely energy driven, and we see little in earnings data that might indicate a broader market downturn.

EARNINGS UPDATE: CORPORATE RESILIENCE

We expect another quarterly earnings gain in the second quarter despite the drags from oil and the U.S. dollar. Improved global growth, lower energy costs, and effective cost controls have supported overall results. Although forward estimates have edged lower, we continue to expect earnings growth to accelerate during the second half of the year.

 
Results: 16 Articles found.
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