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MIDYEAR OUTLOOK 2016: BELIEVING IN THE POTENTIAL OF THE U.S. ECONOMY

Looking out into the second half of the year, we expect the U.S. economy may grow between 2.0% and 2.5%. Given both the direct and indirect impacts of Brexit on the U.S. economy and financial system, we are now expecting the Fed to raise rates just once this year.

WHAT’S AHEAD FOR THE U.K. & EUROPE?

Following its vote to the leave, the U.K. will need to enter negotiations with the EU regarding the terms of the exit. The terms regarding movement of people across borders and the trade relationship will be the focus of the negotiations. In addition to political uncertainty in the U.K., there are several other political events across Europe in 2016–2017 that we’ll be watching.

BREXIT BREAKDOWN

The surprising outcome of the Brexit vote has led to uncertainty for markets and global economies. How long this uncertainty persists will likely determine the extent of any negative impact to the U.S. economy.

TRADING PLACES: THE BREXIT, THE U.K., AND THE EU

Thursday’s “Brexit” vote, during which the U.K. will vote to stay or leave the EU, has had considerable impact on the markets recently. The pattern from similar recent votes suggests that the chances of the U.K. staying are greater than the polls suggest.

FOMC FAQs: ALL ABOUT THE DOT PLOTS

The Fed holds its fourth of eight FOMC meetings of 2016 this Tuesday and Wednesday, June 14 – 15, 2016. With a rate hike unlikely, the FOMC’s “dot plots” will likely be at the center of attention.

 
Results: 16 Articles found.
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