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FORECAST FOR CLEAR SKIES

The latest reading on the Conference Board’s monthly LEI helps to provide some timely guidance regarding recent market volatility. The LEI says the risk of recession in the next 12 months is very low (4%), but not zero. Based on the level of the LEI relative to its prior peak, the current economic expansion may last at least another four years.

GLOBAL GDP TRACKER: SUMMER 2015 EDITION

Q2 GDP results to date suggest global growth in 2015 is accelerating versus 2014, despite some high-profile GDP misses and China concerns. The Eurozone appears to have some economic momentum after nearly a half-decade of sluggish growth, with Q2 GDP acceleration expected.

TANGLED UP IN EU

Although some European countries have made progress with structural reforms, much more work is needed. The lack of progress on many structural reforms in countries outside of Germany continues to weigh on the Eurozone’s global competiveness. The verdict is still out on Greece and its promised structural reforms.

JULY 2015 BEIGE BOOK: WINDOW ON MAIN STREET

The latest Beige Book suggests that the U.S. economy is still growing at or above its long-term trend, and that some upward wage pressures continue to emerge. Optimism regarding the economic outlook far outweighed pessimism throughout the Beige Book, as it has for the past two years or so. Our new Beige Book Barometer for the three Fed districts with the most energy-related economic activity reveals more weakness.

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 2015 & 2016

As companies report second quarter 2015 results, the health of the global economy will likely get plenty of attention. The U.S., China, the Eurozone, and Japan account for nearly two-thirds of global economic activity; thus, these areas are where global growth matters the most. The market continues to expect that global GDP growth will accelerate in 2015, 2016, and 2017, aided by lower oil prices and stimulus from two of the three leading central banks in the world.

 
Results: 22 Articles found.
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