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PUTTING THE PIECES TOGETHER

We continue to expect the U.S. economy will expand at a rate of 3% or slightly higher over the remainder of 2015. Good old American know-how continues to be in demand. Overseas, monetary policies continue to drive global growth, impacting most of the largest international economies.

BEIGE BOOK: WINDOW ON MAIN STREET 6/8/15

The latest Beige Book suggests that the U.S. economy is still growing at a pace that is at or above its long-term trend, and that some upward pressure on wages is beginning to emerge. Optimism regarding the economic outlook far outweighed pessimism throughout the Beige Book, as it has for the past two years or so.

GRADING THE FED’S QE PROGRAM: WEEK 3

We give the Fed partial credit on equity and bond market impact. The U.S. equity market performed exceptionally well during all three QE rounds, with the broad stock market increasing by 164%, as measured by the Russell 3000. The Fed partially helped lower bond yields (and boost bond returns) during its QE program.

GRADING THE FED’S QE PROGRAM: WEEK 2

With six months of economic and market data since the end of QE, we assess the latest round of the program that ended in October 2014. We focus on the Fed’s dual mandate to promote low and stable inflation and maximum employment. We give the Fed a pass on the unemployment rate, but have to assign a failing grade on its progress with inflation.

GRADING THE FED’S QE PROGRAM: A MULTI-WEEK GROUP PROJECT

With six months of economic and market data since the end of QE, we assess the latest round of the program that ended in October 2014. We focus on QE’s impact on the banking and financial sector, by examining the amount of financial stress in the system, which overall has decreased since the beginning of QE in November 2008. We give the Fed a “pass” on QE as it relates to banking and financial system stress.

 
Results: 28 Articles found.
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