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Current Conditions Index 11/19/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Overseas Influences

Demand from overseas investors once again helped the bond market shrug off stronger economic data and weak Treasury auction demand. Favorable yield differentials between Treasuries and key overseas bond yields may provide lingering support for the domestic bond market. The Fed, this week’s release of Fed meeting minutes, and the European economy likely hold the keys to unlocking the low-yield environment.​

Emerging Markets Opportunity Still Emerging

We believe emerging markets (EM) fundamental conditions are set for improvement in 2015, based on our outlooks for economic growth, earnings, and policy. Valuations are compelling and EM may be situated to recapture some of their relative losses from a technical perspective, particularly in Asian markets. However, somewhat mixed fundamental and technical pictures suggest a better opportunity may be forthcoming.

Japan Check-In: Will the Weak Q3 GDP Reading Draw a Policy Response

The much weaker than expected Q3 GDP reading in Japan is a modest threat to overall global growth for 2014 and into 2015. We continue to believe the global economy will continue to expand in 2014, 2015, and beyond. The pace and composition of the policy response from Japan in the coming weeks and months are critical.

High-Yield Bonds & Oil Prices

We find it premature to draw conclusions regarding oil prices and the performance of the broad high-yield bond market. Default rates, the pace of economic growth, and the strength of credit quality metrics among high-yield issuers — not oil prices — will be the primary drivers of high-yield bond market returns.

 
Results: 207 Articles found.
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