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HALLOWEEN SPECIAL: WHAT MIGHT SCARE MARKETS

Many measures of investor sentiment indicate widespread uncertainty about the direction of markets. The age of the bull market, U.S. elections, the possibility of a mistake by central banks, U.S. dollar strength, Brexit, and China’s debt problems all seem to have the potential to scare markets.

TIPS FOR STAGFLATION?

Rising inflation expectations coupled with slow economic growth (stagflation) may potentially benefit TIPS. TIPS and Treasuries may help protect in periods of volatility, though low yields relative to other parts of the bond market may hurt longer-term performance.

ENERGY INDEPENDENCE: WORTH THE COST?

Both presidential candidates have made achieving energy self-sufficiency part of their campaigns. The U.S. has become less reliant on foreign oil imports due to the exploitation of domestic shale oil, but it seems unlikely that the U.S. could ever meet all oil needs domestically. Both candidates’ energy policy statements reinforce their larger campaign narratives and reflect their respective world views, but neither seems to realistically address the underlying economics of​

ELECTION PLAYBOOK

n our election playbook, we discuss some investments that could possibly receive an election boost. Some areas that may fare better under Clinton include: alternative energy, emerging markets, and healthcare services. Some areas that could potentially get a boost from a Trump presidency include: biotech/ pharmaceuticals, energy, and financials.

HIGH-YIELD: CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC

High-yield’s impressive year-to-date performance has left the market on the expensive side of fair value and susceptible to pullbacks related to equity market or oil weakness. The high-yield market has already priced in much of the good news regarding decreasing defaults.

 
Results: 55 Articles found.
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