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Results: 141 Articles found.

PRODUCTIVITY PUZZLE

The declining labor force participation rate continues to receive attention from the media and the public, although largely ignored by the markets. We continue to expect the U.S. economy could potentially create between 225,000 and 250,000 net new jobs per month in 2015. Labor force growth plus productivity growth are important indicators for long-term economic growth.

CLASSIC DRIVERS OF BOND YIELDS PUSH HIGHER

Better economic growth and higher inflation expectations are driving confidence in the trajectory of the global economy. Lower yields and lingering price pressures still point to a very low-return environment for high-quality bonds in 2015. The combination of corporate and Treasury supply may keep headwinds on bond investors.

GRADING THE FED’S QE PROGRAM: WEEK 2

With six months of economic and market data since the end of QE, we assess the latest round of the program that ended in October 2014. We focus on the Fed’s dual mandate to promote low and stable inflation and maximum employment. We give the Fed a pass on the unemployment rate, but have to assign a failing grade on its progress with inflation.

KNOW YOUR BREAKEVEN

A lack of liquidity continues to plague the bond market, as indicated by elevated dealer holdings of long-term bonds and light trading volume. Volatility may remain elevated in the short term. Knowing your breakeven can help bond investors assess how resistant their current portfolio is to rising interest rates, and identify areas that offer value.

GRADING THE FED’S QE PROGRAM: A MULTI-WEEK GROUP PROJECT

With six months of economic and market data since the end of QE, we assess the latest round of the program that ended in October 2014. We focus on QE’s impact on the banking and financial sector, by examining the amount of financial stress in the system, which overall has decreased since the beginning of QE in November 2008. We give the Fed a “pass” on QE as it relates to banking and financial system stress.

 
Results: 141 Articles found.
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