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Results: 272 Articles found.

MORE THAN JUST A TRUMP TAPER?

Last week’s Treasury sell-off is broadly being attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, and corresponding increases in policy uncertainty and expectations for higher deficit spending. While the Trump effect is at least partly to blame, other drivers including new supply, potential foreign selling, and the ever-present Fed, helped create the perfect storm for bonds.

EVALUATING THE ECONOMICS OF THE PRESIDENT-ELECT

The degree to which the election results impact volatility will depend a great deal on which policies are actually enacted as a result of the changes in Washington. Corporate tax reform, including repatriation that allows companies to bring overseas cash back to the U.S. at a discounted tax rate, stands a very good chance of being passed following the Republican sweep.

HOLIDAY SHOPPING PREVIEW

The National Retail Federation, a trade organization for retailers that tallies up holiday shopping totals each year, forecasts a 3.6% increase in holiday shopping this year. We see several reasons to expect consumers to potentially open up their wallets this holiday season, including low financial obligations, steady job and wage gains, and high consumer confidence.

TURNING POINT FOR MUNIS?

October was the worst month for municipal bonds since August 2013 as record supply and rising rates took their toll on the sector. Supply hit monthly records in August and September, and an all-time record in October, as municipalities tried to get issues to the market prior to any potential election- or Fed-driven volatility.

READY FOR THEIR CLOSE-UP? DEFICIT & DEBT

The good news is that the deficit, debt, and pace of federal spending are not on the market’s radar screen at this time. Currently, the only way to change the course of the deficit and debt over the medium and long term is to cut spending or raise taxes (or both) via meaningful programs, and in Washington today, neither seems very likely.

 
Results: 272 Articles found.
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