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Portfolio Compass 9/25/13

Compass Changes: Downgraded precious metal commodities to neutral from neutral/positive. Upgraded energy commodities to neutral from negative/neutral. Downgraded agricultural commodities to neutral from neutral/positive. Upgraded intermediate municipal bonds to neutral/positive from neutral. Upgraded Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) to neutral from negative/neutral...

Current Conditions Index 9/25/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) eased to 232. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI is higher than a few weeks ago. A further rise to around 250 would be consistent with accelerating growth.​

The Great No Taper Caper

The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors when it announced no reduction, or tapering, of bond purchases at the conclusion of last week’s Fed meeting. Never in the history of monetary policy have so many been misled by so few. The case to taper was debatable back in late spring and early summer when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his compatriots first began to mention tapering. Inflation was running at a lower rate than when the Fed initiated purchases one year ago and economic growth...

The “Kick-the-Can” Pattern Keeps Giving to Investors in September

After kicking the can on Syria, a new Fed chairman, and now tapering, the market is beginning to wonder if the government funding deadline and debt ceiling are the next cans to be kicked by those in Washington. This week, the headlines will focus on the possibility of a government shutdown and the debt ceiling impasse, perhaps setting up another buy-the-dip opportunity ahead of an 11th hour compromise.​

Communication Breakdown?

In our view, Bernanke made a clear case to markets last week that tapering remains data dependent, and he even provided markets with specific metrics the FOMC was watching to gauge progress. Market participants may need to recalibrate how they listen to the Fed, and the Fed may need to rethink how it communicates with the markets and the public. The Fed will need the markets’ trust as it begins to prepare for the unwinding of all the monetary stimulus it has put into the system since 2007.

Results: 23 Articles found.
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