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Markets Entering Area 51

Area 51 has been steeped in mystery and a favorite subject of conspiracy theorists for decades. But CIA documents released late last week officially acknowledge its existence and suggest that its actual function was far less extraordinary or essential than believed by some. Like Area 51, the latest round of quantitative easing has been surrounded by mystery (What is it actually doing? Is it working? When will it end?)...

Current Conditions Index 8/14/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) remained relatively unchanged with a slight rise to 228. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. The CCI has stabilized in recent weeks. A return to around 250 would be consistent with stronger growth...

Foreign Buying Intrigue

Like an international mystery caper, the habits of foreign bond buyers are not always readily apparent. Data on foreign buying are available from a few sources but with a lag, leaving investors to piece together the details over time. Any “real-time” information is only anecdotal via trading desks and therefore very difficult to quantify. Over recent weeks it has become clear that foreign investors’ apathy toward U.S. bonds played a role in the recent bond market sell-off...

Measuring Economic Expansion

The U.S. economy is now in the fifth year of the 12th economic recovery (or expansion) since the end of World War II. It is already the sixth-longest expansion and would have to last another year to become the fifth longest, as discussed last week. This week, we will compare the performance of gross domestic product (GDP) and its components...

Change in China and What it Means for Investors

Last week’s economic reports from China for July added fuel to the fiery debate over whether China’s economy is slowing rapidly, possibly forming a sharp “hard landing,” or slowing more gradually and likely forming a more shallow dip or “soft landing,” which could already be stabilizing. This debate focuses primarily on the pace of the decline and all sides assume an eventual rebound. However, the debate misses the point: whatever the landing, there may not be a rebound...

Results: 213 Articles found.
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