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Results: 219 Articles found.

HOW MUCH, HOW FAR, HOW FAST, NOT WHEN?

Although there is a chance the Fed will raise rates this week, our view remains that the Fed will hike later this year, most likely at the December 2015 meeting. While much of the focus has been on “when,” market participants may start asking “how much” and “how fast” rates may increase once the Fed begins to raise the rates. The current disconnect on the “how much” and “how fast” between the FOMC and the financial markets could be a major issue for financial market participants in the months ah​

BONDS TO FED: DO NOT RAISE RATES

Inflation expectations, the yield curve, and stock market volatility have raised the bar for a September rate hike. The Fed has a tall task ahead to justify a September rate hike, but it nonetheless remains a possibility. We believe the Fed will wait until December 2015 or possibly even early 2016, as there appears little downside risk to holding off.

CONSULTING OUR TECHNICAL PLAYBOOK

In challenging market environments, technical analysis tools can help us make better investment decisions. Our technical playbook suggests recent market weakness may present a buying opportunity. We are mindful of risks that might impact our playbook, including a potential China hard landing or a central bank policy mistake.

BEIGE BOOK UPDATE 9/8/15

The latest Beige Book suggests that the U.S. economy is still growing at or above its long-term trend, and that emerging upward wage pressures may get the Fed’s attention soon. Optimism regarding the economic outlook far outweighed pessimism throughout the Beige Book once again. Concerns over China’s impact on the U.S. economy have increased on Main Street.

12 QUESTIONS FOR A 12% CORRECTION

This week we answer the top 12 investor questions in response to the S&P 500’s 12% correction. We expect the U.S. economic expansion and bull market may continue through year-end, despite the latest stock market correction and China uncertainty. We reiterate our forecast for stocks to produce midto high-single-digit returns in 2015.

 
Results: 219 Articles found.
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