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WHAT A NON-RECESSIONARY BEAR MIGHT LOOK LIKE

Bear markets can occur without recessions. There have been ten bear markets in the S&P 500 since 1968, and four of them occurred without an accompanying recession.

WHAT DO CLAIMS CLAIM?

We have raised the odds of recession to 30% today, from around 10 – 15% at the start of the year.

GROUNDHOG DAY?

Our view is that while the odds of a U.S. recession in 2016 remain low, they have increased since the start of the year. Some investors fear that the remainder of the year will be a repeat of January 2016, 2008, or 1998, which we think is unlikely.

FEAR FEBRUARY AFTER JITTERY JANUARY?

Don’t worry about the January Barometer, which says, “As goes January, so goes the year.”

FOMC FAQs: MAKING A STATEMENT

Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers face a difficult task this week. Although it is not expected that they will raise rates again as soon as this week’s meeting, they have to communicate the Fed’s policy intentions...

 
Results: 173 Articles found.
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