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Results: 90 Articles found.

Mind the Gap

The key now for the Fed, as it deliberates when to begin to raise rates, is to gauge how quickly the output gap is likely to close. The pace at which the U.S. economy takes up slack is likely to command a great deal of attention from the Fed and market participants in the coming months. We believe the first Fed rate hike is likely to occur in about a year’s time, assuming the economy tracks the FOMC’s forecast.

Fed Nerves

Despite recent weakness, bonds continue to discount the pace and magnitude of Fed rate hikes. A few facets of this week’s Fed meeting may reveal whether the recent pullback in bonds continues to stabilize.​

Don’t Fight the ECB? (Part 1 of 2)

Buying stocks after the various QE programs were announced by the Federal Reserve was generally a profitable decision for investors. To answer the question about whether the ECB programs will have the same impact on European stock markets, we point out some key differences between the United States then and Europe now.

Fall FOMC Watch

We continue to expect the Fed to again cut its bond purchase program and remain on pace to exit QE by year end. However, odds have increased that the Fed could change “something” at this week’s FOMC meeting, including omitting its promise to keep rates low for a “considerable time” or providing the public with an update to its exit strategy. We are continuing to watch...

Growth Signals

The combination of additional cuts to overnight borrowing rates and the announcement of the ABS purchase program was slightly more than expected from the ECB. Bond markets sent growth signals in response to ECB action in the form of higher yields, higher inflation expectations, and a steeper yield curve.​

 
Results: 90 Articles found.
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