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Results: 217 Articles found.

SUMMER GROWTH CONCERNS

Fixed income markets showed signs of a growth scare in July 2015, with lower real yields, lower inflation expectations, and a flatter yield curve. The markets’ reaction may be a signal to the Fed that September 2015 is too early for an interest rate increase. Recent growth concerns may be creating opportunities.​

PRODUCTIVITY PUZZLE

The declining labor force participation rate continues to receive attention from the media and the public, although largely ignored by the markets. We continue to expect the U.S. economy could potentially create between 225,000 and 250,000 net new jobs per month in 2015. Labor force growth plus productivity growth are important indicators for long-term economic growth.

TANGLED UP IN EU

Although some European countries have made progress with structural reforms, much more work is needed. The lack of progress on many structural reforms in countries outside of Germany continues to weigh on the Eurozone’s global competiveness. The verdict is still out on Greece and its promised structural reforms.

CHINA’S EFFECT ON EMERGING MARKETS DEBT

Emerging markets debt (EMD) spreads have moved above 4%, a level that has attracted buying interest in recent years. EMD is more sensitive to interest rates than the broad U.S. fixed income market. We continue to favor high-yield bonds due to their lower interest rate sensitivity.

PARSING PUERTO RICO

Puerto Rico’s debt crisis remains isolated and not symptomatic of the broad municipal bond market. Signs of contagion have not materialized and appear unlikely, although the probability of a default has increased. Puerto Rico bond prices largely reflect a default and are trading close to anticipated recovery values.

 
Results: 217 Articles found.
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