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Yield Shock

Yields rose across the bond market in recent days, as investors may have finally said “enough is enough” to low yields. Yields on several higher-yielding segments of the bond market at multi-year lows or, in the case of high-yield bonds, new record lows, reversed higher over the past two days (Friday, May 10 and Monday, May 13, 2013) as investors reassess valuations...

Listening to the Leaders: Leading Indicators Continue to Point to Slow Economic Growth, but no Recession

Based on the Leading Economic Indicators (LEI), the odds of recession over the next 12 months are low but not zero. We expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 2.0% for the remainder of 2013, based on our Base Path scenario discussed in our Outlook 2013 publication and additional data.* We expect that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue its program of quantitative easing (QE).

The Rally Is Getting Old, but a New Trend May Be Emerging

The overall stock market has only seen a couple of 2 – 3% dips this year, but there have been 5 – 10% pullbacks among cyclical sectors. It may be time to begin to buy some of the laggard cyclicals, especially on any pullback in the overall market...

Current Conditions Index 5/8/13

Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) rose to 244. The path of the CCI remains consistent with continued, though modest, economic growth in the United States. Over the past few weeks, momentum in the CCI has improved after deteriorating in the prior weeks.

Settling Differences

Stock and bond markets may continue to settle their differences this week, resulting in slightly higher yields. In recent weeks, stock and bond markets had taken divergent views of the macro investing landscape. While stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, reached new record highs, the bond market took a more somber view...

Results: 171 Articles found.
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