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The Inflation Conversation: Part 1

At her first public appearance as Fed chairwoman tomorrow, Janet Yellen is likely to say that inflation is in more danger of falling below the Fed’s target of 2% than accelerating higher. Market participants’ view of inflation is similar to the Fed’s view that inflation remains well contained.

Developing Worries

Uncertainty over emerging market (EM) weakness and whether the weather is truly responsible for recent softness in economic data is likely to keep bond yields range-bound over the near term. We believe the U.S. economy will resume the improvement that began in late 2013 and EM growing pains will not impact broader financial markets over the longer term.

Turn Down the Volume

It is not unusual to see the market dip 3% in a month; what was unusual about January’s stock market trading was the volume surging to levels not seen since May 2010. Such spikes have historically coincided with losses, but they were not sustained for long.

 
Results: 220 Articles found.
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