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Stay on Guard

Yields may remain low for evidence of any fallout or contagion to the U.S. economy; a stretch of stronger economic data or bolder action by overseas central banks are likely needed catalysts for higher yields. The on-guard mentality in the bond market has pushed back timing for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

Oil Hits the Skids

We believe the oil sell-off is overdone and expect the commodity to find a floor in the low $80s. We expect firming global growth to increase the market’s confidence in global oil demand despite weakness in Europe. Energy service stocks are particularly oversold and may be attractive as the services-intensive U.S. energy renaissance continues.

Modest to Moderate Economic Growth Continues

The latest Beige Book reflects a picture of the U.S. economy that has, thus far, been largely unaffected by current geopolitical headlines.Optimism regarding the economic outlook far outweighed pessimism, as it has for the past 18 months or so.

Current Conditions Index 10/15/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Disinflation Infatuation

Inflation expectations have fallen sharply in recent weeks, driven by European disinflation, lower energy prices, and overall growth concerns. The persistence of low inflation expectations may intensify the “lower for longer” theme via lower growth expectations and delays to potential Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes.

 
Results: 194 Articles found.
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