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THE ECONOMY IN TRANSITION

The U.S. economic landscape is still running under its long-term potential and could benefit from policies designed to boost the economy’s productivity and its potential growth rate.

CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK: BETTER TONE, LITTLE ELECTION TALK

Our analysis of third quarter earnings conference call transcripts indicates sentiment among corporate executives improved. For all of the media attention on the U.S. election, corporate executives spent surprisingly little time on the topic during earnings conference calls.

MORE THAN JUST A TRUMP TAPER?

Last week’s Treasury sell-off is broadly being attributed to President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, and corresponding increases in policy uncertainty and expectations for higher deficit spending. While the Trump effect is at least partly to blame, other drivers including new supply, potential foreign selling, and the ever-present Fed, helped create the perfect storm for bonds.

EVALUATING THE ECONOMICS OF THE PRESIDENT-ELECT

The degree to which the election results impact volatility will depend a great deal on which policies are actually enacted as a result of the changes in Washington. Corporate tax reform, including repatriation that allows companies to bring overseas cash back to the U.S. at a discounted tax rate, stands a very good chance of being passed following the Republican sweep.

HOLIDAY SHOPPING PREVIEW

The National Retail Federation, a trade organization for retailers that tallies up holiday shopping totals each year, forecasts a 3.6% increase in holiday shopping this year. We see several reasons to expect consumers to potentially open up their wallets this holiday season, including low financial obligations, steady job and wage gains, and high consumer confidence.

 
Results: 56 Articles found.
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