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Current Conditions Index 11/12/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Solid Earnings Season Spelled Out

While the certainty provided by an election outcome has been positive for the stock market over time, our positive stock market outlook is based much more on fundamentals. It does not get more fundamental than earnings, which are on track to grow by 10% year over year for the second straight quarter. Earnings season is not over, but with about 90% of S&P 500 companies having reported results, we are ready to declare it a success.

Consumer Conditions

The drop in gasoline prices over the fall and summer months has been a plus for spending, but other factors have a much bigger impact on the consumer. The better tone to the labor market, the sharp rise in household net worth, and prerecession levels of consumer confidence all act as supports for the consumer. However, stubbornly weak wage and income growth remain as key constraints on spending. Sustained economic growth is the best way to ensure solid employment growth.

Current Conditions Index 11/5/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

High-Yield Divergence

The headwinds of rising high-quality bond yields and increasing new issuance have slowed the advance of high-yield bonds in late October 2014, relative to stock market gains. Nonetheless, we expect high-yield bonds may improve as economic expansion, earnings growth, and low defaults continue to drive our positive outlook. We continue to expect a challenging, lowreturn environment across the bond market, with high-yield bonds a likely bright spot.

 
Results: 207 Articles found.
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