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GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 2015 & 2016

As companies report second quarter 2015 results, the health of the global economy will likely get plenty of attention. The U.S., China, the Eurozone, and Japan account for nearly two-thirds of global economic activity; thus, these areas are where global growth matters the most. The market continues to expect that global GDP growth will accelerate in 2015, 2016, and 2017, aided by lower oil prices and stimulus from two of the three leading central banks in the world.

WHAT DO BONDS SAY ABOUT GREECE

Bond market’s reaction to Greek events has been muted so far and justifiably so. Key safety nets put in place by the European Central Bank and policymakers in recent years support limited bond market impacts. The growth trend continues to dominate long-term bond prices and yields despite unfolding Greek events.

GREECE PLAYBOOK

The referendum result this weekend throws Greece’s future in the currency union firmly in doubt. Here we address the question of whether the heightened risk of a Greek exit from the Eurozone might lead to contagion for global markets. We do not believe Greece is another “Lehman moment” and it may present an attractive buying opportunity for European equities.

THE FED AFTER THE “NO”

Our view remains that the Fed is on track to hike rates for the first time in this cycle in late 2015. The longer the uncertainty around Greece lingers, the greater the odds that the Fed doesn’t hike rates until early 2016. A decisive upturn in wage inflation remains key to moving inflation and inflation expectations higher.

Be Prepared: Tips for Caring for an Ill or Elderly Parent

Illness or disability can come without warning. If you are faced with taking on the responsibility of caring for an aging parent or ailing loved one, these checklists may serve as a starting point for organizing your thoughts and building the network of financial, medical and other resources that can help.

 
Results: 56 Articles found.
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