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The State of States

A change of seasons should be noted by municipal investors, as a seasonal increase in new issuance may be a catalyst to lower returns after a strong 2014. It is not uncommon for revenues to slow as the economy matures, and we do not view the slowdown in state tax revenues as worrisome for municipal bond investors.

Don’t Fight the ECB? (Part 2 of 2)

Last week we discussed why buying European stocks now, following the recent stimulus announced by the ECB, is very different from buying U.S. stocks during periods of Fed stimulus in recent years. This week we take a deeper dive into the investment opportunity in Europe and evaluate fundamentals, valuations, and technicals. We recommend that investors “fight the ECB.” We do not believe the additional stimulus is enough for us to recommend European equities over U.S. equities at this time.

Mind the Gap

The key now for the Fed, as it deliberates when to begin to raise rates, is to gauge how quickly the output gap is likely to close. The pace at which the U.S. economy takes up slack is likely to command a great deal of attention from the Fed and market participants in the coming months. We believe the first Fed rate hike is likely to occur in about a year’s time, assuming the economy tracks the FOMC’s forecast.

Current Conditions Index 9/16/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Fed Nerves

Despite recent weakness, bonds continue to discount the pace and magnitude of Fed rate hikes. A few facets of this week’s Fed meeting may reveal whether the recent pullback in bonds continues to stabilize.​

 
Results: 194 Articles found.
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