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A DEEPER LOOK AT THE RISE IN LIBOR

3-month U.S. dollar Libor has increased by 0.2% over the past two months, which carries almost the same impact as a full rate hike, even though the Fed has not raised rates since December 2015. Investors in bank loans may benefit if Libor continues to rise, given that the floating rates may start to move higher once the 1% Libor floor that many issues carry is exceeded.

CORPORATE BEIGE BOOK: Q2 OFFERS FEW SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT

Our analysis of second quarter earnings conference call transcripts suggests little improvement in corporate sentiment. Most management teams see only a minimal short-term impact from Brexit outside of currencies. Foreign currency remained a drag and low oil prices are still in focus.

DEFICIT? WHAT DEFICIT?

The structural and demographic problems that will drive the deficit higher over the next several decades remain in place, “but are receiving relatively little attention from policymakers and markets.” The longer policymakers wait to address them, the more difficult they become.

IS FOREIGN DEMAND FADING?

Foreign demand has helped drive Treasury yields lower and support prices over the past year, though increasing hedging costs may prove problematic moving forward. Demand from indirect bidders continues to be strong at Treasury auctions, muddying the argument that higher hedging costs may cause foreign demand to weaken.

WHAT THE MARKET IS TELLING US ABOUT THE ELECTION

This week we look at what stocks may be telling us about the presidential election. The relative lack of volatility this summer may indicate increasing odds the market is assigning to a Clinton victory. We also look at what some politically sensitive industry groups may be telling us about the election outcome.

 
Results: 55 Articles found.
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