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Beige Book: September 2014

Over the past three Beige Books, the BBB has averaged +100, the highest reading over any three consecutive Beige Books since at least 2005. The latest Beige Book indicates to us that the negative headwinds that have held the U.S. economy back over the past seven years may finally be abating. Health care and the ACA have remained a consistent source of concern among Beige Book respondents, although the impact has faded a bit recently. Despite the recent barrage of bad news on...

Current Conditions Index 9/3/14

Read real-time insight into the trends that shape LPL Financial Research’s recommended actions to manage portfolios, it has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.

Is It Extreme?

Although the decline in US Treasury yields has been significant in 2014, it is not quite at an extreme when viewed historically. However, the decline in European government bond yields has reached an extreme. Given the influence of European government bond yields on U.S. yields, this week’s ECB meeting may determine the market’s next move.

Central Bankapalooza

The market is not expecting the ECB to begin QE this week, although other forms of policy support are likely. The data continue to suggest that more aggressive monetary policy from the ECB would have only a muted impact on the real economy unless the fractured banking system can be repaired. Policy divergences among the world’s major central banks are likely to intensify in late 2014 and beyond.

Midterms May Mean More Gains for Stocks

The resolution of election uncertainty — and ending the predominantly negative rhetoric surrounding the campaigns — has historically been a positive for the stock market. We continue to see opportunities for further stock market gains over the course of 2014, based upon fundamentals rather than the potential for sweeping legislative change.

 
Results: 194 Articles found.
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