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Results: 47 Articles found.

Less Defense?

If Congress can agree to substantial cuts in defense spending as part of an overall budget deal, defense would likely be a modest 0.1 to 0.2% drag on overall gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2013 and beyond.Eliminating all “waste, fraud, and abuse” from the defense budget, while a worthwhile endeavor, would only make a small dent in overall spending...

Following the Center of Gravity at the Fed

In recent weeks, markets and the media have been buzzing about this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and, in particular, whether or not the Fed will adopt formal thresholds to monitor the effectiveness of the latest round of quantitative easing. The FOMC has already set thresholds for monitoring its “highly accommodative stance of monetary policy” (fed funds rate target between....​

Still Waiting for the Bonds-to-Stocks Rotation

Stock mutual funds have seen inflows each week so far this year, providing some evidence that investors are finally favoring stocks after years of selling. However, the details of the data reveal that the money is not going to U.S. stock funds and not coming from bonds. A long-term rotation from bonds to stocks is likely to begin sometime this year, but those claiming that it is already underway are premature and may be in for disappointment if they expect the stock market rally to continue...

Same Europe, Different Crisis

This week’s European finance ministers’ meeting is a reminder that each spring for the past three years, U.S. stocks have started a slide of about 10% during thesecond quarter, led by events in Europe. In 2012, the European fear gauge was the rise in southern European bond yields as the financial crisis worsened. In 2013, it is northern European bond yields falling as the economic crisis worsens.

Beige Book Rebounds

Despite elevated levels of uncertainty surrounding the debate over the fiscal cliff, our proprietary “Beige Book Barometer” moved up to +56 in January 2013, rebounding from a Superstorm Sandy-related dip to +30 in November 2012. Still, our Barometer remains well below its recent high of +101, hit in April 2012. The improvement in our barometer between November 2012 and January 2013 was largely the result of...

Results: 47 Articles found.
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