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The ABCs of GDP

The U.S. Department of Commerce’s just released first estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) for Q1-13 which shows continued declines in federal spending, including defense spending and state and local spending. There were few, if any signs, in the GDP report for the first quarter of 2013 that the U.S. economy will re-accelerate anytime soon. We continue to expect GDP growth to average around 2.0% over the course of 2013. We examine the various components and drivers of GDP in this...

Soft Spot Arrives on Schedule

There are certain things we have gotten used to counting on each spring: the season changes and the weather warms, baseball games bring fans to the stadiums, the economy weakens, and investors “sell in May and go away.” The old Wall Street adage “sell in May and go away” refers to the seasonal tendency of stocks’ performance to weaken in the spring until the fall. In recent years, this spring slide in the stock market was driven by the arrival of a spring soft spot in the economy...

Is Investor Complacency Finally Ending?

Last week, U.S. stocks suffered their worst drop in over nine months as a terrorist attack and poor economic and earnings data shook investor confidence. Breaking down last week’s market drivers may reveal insights about the likely future direction of the stock market...

Beige Book: Window on Main Street

Our Beige Book Barometer hit an eight-year high in April, despite adverse weather in late February, March, and early April 2013. This suggests that a return to “normal” weather could provide a significant lift to upcoming readings on our Barometer.


Each time we publish the Weekly Economic Commentary, we include our calendar on page 3 that details all the key economic and policy events for the week. While we try to keep the Weekly Economic Commentary “relevant” by tying our commentary to one of the events of the week, many times we don’t refer to the calendar at all...

Results: 71 Articles found.
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