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Real and Sustainable: An Update

The June 2013 employment report revealed that the private sector economy continues to add about 200,000 jobs per month, keeping the Fed on a pace to taper quantitative easing this fall. The labor market is at best a coincident indicator of economic activity, so the uptick in jobs is not likely to signal an uptick in the pace of economic growth.

Mid-Year Outlook

The investment landscape for the first half of 2013 has proven to be a toughone to navigate. And this is likely to continue through the second half of this year. There is a lot of rocky terrain and potentially some surprises ahead that investors need to prepare for...

Revisiting the Residential Recovery

The recent rise in mortgage rates — from just under 3.5% (for a conventional 30-year loan) to just under 4.5% since mid-May 2013 has led to widespread fears the housing recovery would come grinding to a halt. Those fears appear to be overdone, in our view, as almost all of the factors supporting an ongoing recovery in housing remain in place. At this stage of the recovery, satisfying pent up demand for housing rather than mortgage rates is likely to be the bigger driver of housing...

The End Is Near - But That Is Good News

Overview: Market participants heard from the Fed last week that it is ready to soon end the bond-buying program and continue to expand its purchases at a slower pace. It appears the stock market started to move to price in the start of tightening rather than the potential end of stimulus. The knee-jerk reaction of selling across all markets - stocks, bonds, and commodities - may not persist for long and could create opportunities to buy the dip.

What’s It Worth?

What has mattered most to the market in recent years? What has explained the ups and downs and how the market got back to all-time highs? There are a lot of drivers that could be argued as critical components of the markets’ rise, such as the European fiscal issues, the housing rebound, and U.S. fiscal policy developments. But, setting emotion and headlines aside and measuring statistically, there are three things that have really mattered to the markets...

Results: 88 Articles found.
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