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Soft Spot Arrives on Schedule

There are certain things we have gotten used to counting on each spring: the season changes and the weather warms, baseball games bring fans to the stadiums, the economy weakens, and investors “sell in May and go away.” The old Wall Street adage “sell in May and go away” refers to the seasonal tendency of stocks’ performance to weaken in the spring until the fall. In recent years, this spring slide in the stock market was driven by the arrival of a spring soft spot in the economy...

Is Investor Complacency Finally Ending?

Last week, U.S. stocks suffered their worst drop in over nine months as a terrorist attack and poor economic and earnings data shook investor confidence. Breaking down last week’s market drivers may reveal insights about the likely future direction of the stock market...

Beige Book: Window on Main Street

Our Beige Book Barometer hit an eight-year high in April, despite adverse weather in late February, March, and early April 2013. This suggests that a return to “normal” weather could provide a significant lift to upcoming readings on our Barometer.


Each time we publish the Weekly Economic Commentary, we include our calendar on page 3 that details all the key economic and policy events for the week. While we try to keep the Weekly Economic Commentary “relevant” by tying our commentary to one of the events of the week, many times we don’t refer to the calendar at all...

First Quarter Earnings Insights

Four times a year, investors focus on the most fundamental driver of investment performance: earnings. Unfortunately, like the economy, earnings growth remains sluggish. The first quarter of 2013 is likely to mark the fourth quarter in a row of low to mid-single-digit earnings per share growth. The dollar amount of earnings per share for the S&P 500 companies is expected to be lower than in each of the past three quarters and only 1% higher than a year ago...

Results: 80 Articles found.
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