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HOUSING HEALTH

We continue to expect housing may add to GDP growth in 2015 and for the next several years, as the market normalizes following the severe housing bust of 2005 – 2010. Poor weather in Q1 2015 may again cause housing to be a drag on growth early in 2015.

ARE EXPECTATIONS TOO HIGH?

The market’s continued ascent has caused some to ask if the stock market reflects excessive optimism. The pace of economic surprises as measured by the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index suggests expectations remain reasonable.

ENERGY SECTOR OUTLOOK:WHAT WE ARE WATCHING

We are watching several key factors to assess the potential opportunity in the energy sector. While we expect to try to take advantage of opportunities in this group in short order, we are not convinced that it now presents a great entry point. We continue to recommend the consumer discretionary sector, where suitable, as a way to play low energy prices.

GLOBAL GDP TRACKER

The market continues to expect that global GDP growth will accelerate in 2015 and 2016, aided by lower oil prices and stimulus from two of the three leading central banks in the world. The consensus has been raising its estimate for 2015 growth for developed economies and sharply lowering its estimate for emerging markets.

EARNINGS SEASON HIGHLIGHTS AND LOWLIGHTS

look at some of the highlights and lowlights of fourth quarter earnings season. Despite the massive drag from the energy sector and the negative impact of a strong U.S. dollar, fourth quarter 2014 earnings are on track to exceed prior estimates.

 
Results: 98 Articles found.
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