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The Weakest Earnings Cycle in 55 Years

This has been the weakest earnings cycle in 55 years. Earnings growth needs to improve to support valuations and drive the stock market higher. Fortunately, growth may be set to improve in the coming quarters.​

Gauging Global Growth in 2014 & 2015

The stabilization in growth forecasts for both 2014 and 2015 is a sign that perhaps the market is more confident now that the global economy is in the middle innings of an expansion. While the forecasts for GDP growth for 2014 and 2015 have generally moved higher for developed economies over the past 18 months, growth estimates for emerging market economies have generally moved lower.

Jobs Looking for People Redux

The JOLTS data continue to tell a familiar story: the labor market is healing, but it still has a long way to go to get back to normal. Looking around the country at open jobs by industry, firm size, and pay, it seems like a good time to be a business and professional services worker in the South looking for work in a small-to-medium sized (50 to 249 employee) business.

Surprise: Cyclicals May Soon Come Back

The very tight relationship between economic surprises and the performance of cyclicals suggests cyclicals may soon make a comeback relative to more defensive sectors.

Is the Party Over?

At any given time, there are always some bubbly valuations among industries and stocks that are hot. But overall, looking at valuations, the party in the stock market may not be just getting started — but it is not yet close to being over.

 
Results: 83 Articles found.
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