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Revisiting the Recovery

Last week’s data deluge did not change our view (or the markets’) about the economy or the Fed. We still expect modest 2.0% real GDP growth in 2013. We believe the labor market is still growing quickly enough to allow the Fed to begin to taper its bond-buying program known as quantitative easing sometime this fall. The recent high-profile reports on the economy did little...

Under the Surface

Conditions have stopped worsening, and Europe’s economy may be stabilizing after a period of rapid economic deterioration. However, the deep-rooted negatives that lie not far under the surface may disappoint those expecting steady improvement. As we have all year, we continue to believe U.S. stocks will outperform their international peers...

Midsummer Madness

We continue to expect the Fed to begin to slow its bond-buying program (QE) in the fall of 2013. We believe the U.S. economy will continue to grow at about 2% in 2013, supported by housing as well as consumer and business spending, offsetting the government spending drag. The health of the labor market as measured by the monthly job count (around 200,000 jobs per month) has met the Fed’s “real and sustainable” improvement expectations, but other job market measures tell a different story...

Unseasonable Weather Still Weighing on the Economy

The latest edition of the Fed’s Beige Book, released on July 17, 2013, continues to underscore the impact of the unseasonably cool weather on the U.S. economy. Housing and commercial real estate were mentioned as key drivers of growth and, for the first time this year, mortgage rates were mentioned. The number of negative words in the Beige Book has dropped to a seven-year low, reflecting...

Walking Dead Stock Market

Last week revealed the nominations for the 2013 Primetime Emmy Awards. Overall, 10 different dramas scored nominations for the shows or lead actors. But missing from the list was the show that is the number one drama in the coveted 18-to-49-year-old demographic: The Walking Dead. There was no respect for the unstoppable zombie drama from the television academy. Likewise, this unkillable stock market rally seems to get no respect. U.S. stocks have been snubbed by investors this year...

 
Results: 85 Articles found.
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