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FOMC: Need to Know

We continue to expect the Fed to trim QE by $10 billion per month this year and to remain on pace to exit QE by the end of 2014. Our view remains that the current center of gravity at the FOMC will likely err on the side of keeping rates lower for longer. Markets should expect that the Fed will be content with keeping its fed funds rate target near zero until key labor market indicators make significant progress toward “normal.”

Who Are the Buyers and Sellers?

At the heart of it, all markets come down to buyers and sellers. Taking a look at who is buying and who is selling can tell us something about the durability of the market’s performance and what may lie ahead.

Modest-to-Moderate Economic Growth Continues

The latest edition of the Fed’s Beige Book indicates that the negative headwinds that have held the U.S. economy back over the past five years may be declining. The rebound in our Beige Book Barometer is consistent with the Fed’s view that the contraction in economic activity was mostly weather related. We continue to expect...

No Debate: Stock and Bond Markets Agree

No debate here: Over the past five years, modest declines in bond yields in the range of 0 – 50 basis points occurred along with modest gains of 0 – 10% for stocks.

Better Gauges of Global Growth Ahead

As markets brace for this week, we continue to expect that the U.S. and global economies may accelerate in 2014 relative to 2013’s growth rate. We continue to expect that the FOMC will taper QE by $10 billion per meeting, exit the program by the end of 2014, and begin to raise interest rates in late 2015. Our view remains that...

 
Results: 87 Articles found.
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