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JANUARY EMPLOYMENT REPORT PREVIEW

The market is expecting the economy to add 235,000 net new jobs in January 2015 and for the unemployment rate to remain at 5.6%. Other measures of the health of the labor market — hiring rates, the quit rate, the unemployment rate, and most importantly, wages — still show that the labor market is not yet back to normal.

NO DEFLATING THE U.S. DOLLAR

The latest leg up for the U.S. dollar has been driven by anticipation and arrival of QE by the ECB. The dollar has been strong for a number of reasons, all of them good things. Though not the end all and be all, currency is an important consideration when determining asset allocation.

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH

The pace of growth in the global economy is a key driver of global earnings growth, and ultimately, the performance of global equity markets. The IMF raised its estimate for growth in 2015 for developed economies and sharply lowered its estimate for emerging markets.

BEIGE BOOK - January 2015

The latest Beige Book reflected a picture of the U.S. economy that was largely unaffected by concerns over dropping oil prices, the 2014 holiday shopping season, global growth scares, and a rising U.S. dollar, although the drop in oil prices was noted as a negative in some districts.

EUROPEAN HEAD FAKE?

The much anticipated European Central Bank (ECB) policy meeting this week may include a quantitative easing (QE) program announcement. Although we would view a potentially bold QE program from the ECB as an incremental positive, the ongoing growth and deflation challenges in Europe leave us still with a strong preference for the U.S.

 
Results: 106 Articles found.
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