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Oil, Oil Everywhere

Why — if the United States is producing more oil and consuming less than it was a decade ago — is the price of oil going up, and what does it mean for investors?

Capital Spending Check-up

We do not think the economic weakness in Q1 is the start of another recession, and, indeed, we continue to expect real GDP will expand 3.0% in all of 2014. We believe the conditions are in place for a pickup in business spending, and we expect the pace of business capital spending to accelerate over the next several years.

Snapback

We do not think the first quarter GDP report will be a harbinger of a recession in the near future. We continue to believe the U.S. economy will accelerate in 2014 (relative to 2013), and that GDP will increase 3.0% for the year. The LEI indicates that the risk of recession in the next 12 months is negligible at 4%, but not zero.

Japan Going Godzilla

If Godzilla-sized quantitative easing aligns with a fading impact from recent tax hikes, increasing political support for corporate tax cuts, and a push by government pension funds into stocks, it may mean a blockbuster summer for Japanese stocks.

The Best Indicator May Be a Long Way From Signaling the Start of a Bear Market

The volatility we call “market storms” is likely to continue to be a characteristic of markets this year, caused by well-known factors, such as: geopolitical conflict in Russian border countries, slower economic growth in China, or a weak start to the year for the U.S. economy, among others, but also lesser-known factors like the Oklahoma earthquakes, solar flares disrupting communications, and the Ebola outbreak...

 
Results: 87 Articles found.
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