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The budget crisis in Washington is over — for now. The 11th hour deal lifts the debt ceiling through February 7, 2014, and funds the government though January 15, 2014, returning furloughed overnment workers to their jobs. The bill passed both the Senate and the House by a wide margin and on bipartisan support. But what about early next year — are we going to have to go through the same fiscal fight again?

The Lowdown on the Shutdown

With the shutdown and debt ceiling debate now in the rear view mirror, the market’s attention — and possibly the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) as well — will likely shift to the performance of the private sector economy here in the fourth quarter of 2013 and in the first quarter of 2014. We continue to expect around 2.0% growth in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2013, despite the drag from government spending...

The Six Trends to Watch This Earnings Season

The continued wrangling by lawmakers over the government shutdown and debt ceiling may overshadow earnings reports this week in drama, but not in importance. While Washington drives market volatility, the market trend is determined by earnings growth. It is hard to draw conclusions from the handful of results in the...

Gauging Global Growth in 2013 & 2014: Stability

If the U.S. government remains shut down, news from corporate America on the health of the U.S. and global economies may take on even greater significance than usual for market participants and policymakers in the coming weeks. The stabilization in growth forecasts for 2014 is a sign that perhaps the market is much more confident now that the global economy is in the middle innings of an expansion. It’s a healthy sign for global growth prospects that...

What to Watch for a Breakthrough or a Breakdown

Last week stock market investors continued to cling to, if not actually climb, the wall of worry. Stocks were flat for the first week of the government shutdown, but that masks the intraday volatility seen last week as drops were quickly reversed each day. The market moves last week were in part prompted by reports and rumors emanating from Washington, D.C. on the state of the negotiations over funding the federal government and lifting the debt ceiling...

Results: 83 Articles found.
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