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World Cup and World CPI Are Heating Up, Risking Mistakes by Key Players

Just as the World Cup has been heating up, increasing the risk of player mistakes, the world consumer price index (CPI) has also been heating up, complicating the task for policymakers at the world’s central banks and increasing the risk of mistakes that could have market implications.

USA $17.1 Trillion | GER $3.8 Trillion

The U.S. economy is poised to outperform Germany in the years ahead thanks to better demographics, better productivity, and a more focused central bank. Today the U.S. economy is in far better shape than the German economy. Advantage U.S.A.

Emerging Opportunity

Emerging market stocks have now pulled ahead of the performance of the S&P 500 Index for 2014, which may finally mark the beginning of the turn for EM relative performance.

FOMC: Need to Know

We continue to expect the Fed to trim QE by $10 billion per month this year and to remain on pace to exit QE by the end of 2014. Our view remains that the current center of gravity at the FOMC will likely err on the side of keeping rates lower for longer. Markets should expect that the Fed will be content with keeping its fed funds rate target near zero until key labor market indicators make significant progress toward “normal.”

Who Are the Buyers and Sellers?

At the heart of it, all markets come down to buyers and sellers. Taking a look at who is buying and who is selling can tell us something about the durability of the market’s performance and what may lie ahead.

 
Results: 84 Articles found.
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